May 16, 2012

My Picks for This Year’s Oscars

The Academy Awards are tomorrow night, so I figured I’d put out my picks for this year’s winners.  You can also see other Blast writers’ picks here.  You’ll notice that I didn’t comment on every single pick – some categories I either don’t know / care enough about, or figured there wasn’t too much to say.  Without further ado, here they are:

Best Picture: The King’s Speech
Nominees: Black Swan, The Social Network, Inception, Winter’s Bone, The Fighter, The Kid’s Are All Right, 127 Hours, Toy Story 3, True Grit
The majority of my Oscar picks this year are based partially on the occurrences of last year’s awards season.  Last year, Avatar obliterated everything else at the Golden Globes, but at the Oscars it was bested by The Hurt Locker.  I think this year will take a similar course – The Social Network practically swept the Globes, but The King’s Speech will take the Oscars.  I’m also basing my Speech-centered picks on the fact that the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (the voters) average member age is 57 years old.  Even though The Social Network was a great film, I don’t think many people over the age of 50 connected with the movie the way younger audiences did – I’d see a film like The King’s Speech being much more appealing to that age group instead.
Best Director: Tom Hooper (The King’s Speech)
Other Nominees: David Fincher (The Social Network) , Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan), David O. Russell (The Fighter), Joel and Ethan Coen (True Grit)
Hands down, Nolan deserved this one.  But since he got snubbed and wasn’t even nominated, my pick is Hooper.  The race between him and Fincher  is a tight one, but I think the overall Academy love for The King’s Speech will lead to him taking the gold.
Best Actor: Colin Firth
Other Nominees: Javier Bardem (Biutiful), Jeff Bridges (True Grit), Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network),
Most people would agree that Firth has the lock on this one, as he should.  He really mastered the stutter for his role in The King’s Speech and besides that, he’s had an Oscar coming for awhile now.  He should have taken it last year with his performance in A Single Man but got robbed by Jeff Bridges.  Not this time!
Best Actress: Natalie Portman (Black Swan)
Other Nominees: Annette Bening (The Kids Are Alright), Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole), Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone), Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine)
I didn’t get to see Portman’s performance in Black Swan, so it’s tough for me to give a well-informed opinion of which actress deserves the Oscar this year.  I thought that Blue Valentine was a fantastic film and Williams was excellent in it, so she has my vote without seeing Swan.  But regardless of how I feel, Portman has received rave reviews for her turn as a tormented ballet dancer and it seems like she’s the candidate most likely to win the gold on Sunday night.
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale
Other Nominees: John Hawkes (Winter’s Bone), Jeremy Renner (The Town), Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are Alright), Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech)
Going into tomorrow night’s Oscars, Christian Bale has won a grand total of 11 Best Supporting Actor awards from various awards organizations for his role in The Fighter. There’s no question he deserves to top off those eleven wins with what many consider to be the most prestigious of awards, an Academy Award.  His transformation as a drug-addicted former boxer was astonishing, one that blew the contenders out of the water.  If anybody were to upset Bale I’d say it would be Rush, but if that happened it would really be a travesty.
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo (The Fighter)
Other nominees: Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit), Amy Adams (The Fighter), Helena Bonham Carter (The King’s Speech), Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom)
My fellow Blast writers made their arguments for Steinfeld and Carter taking the Oscar from Leo this year, but I’m still going to have to stick with her.  I’ll admit that her bizarre “Consider” ads (see one of them here) certainly didn’t help her cause – lots of people believe that if she loses tomorrow night, the blame rests entirely on those ads.  And the recent love affair with The King’s Speech is undeniable, which is why I’ve got the film beating out The Social Network for Best Picture.  But I’m hoping that the AMPAS does the right thing here and gives the Oscar to Leo.  Like Christian Bale, Leo completely disappears into her character in The Fighter. If somebody didn’t know who Melissa Leo was, they’d probably think that the director cast a local Lowell resident as Mickey’s controlling, chain-smoking, loud-mouthed mother.  Amy Adams was excellent alongside Leo in The Fighter, but her character didn’t require as intense of a transformation as Leo’s did, so I say give the Oscar to Leo.
Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3
Other Nominees: The Illusionist, How to Train Your Dragon
Look at that.  The grand total of nominees for Best Animated Feature this year is a measly three films.  How could the Academy not come up with just two more movies to round it out to five?  Tangled would have been an easy addition.  Anyways, regardless of this shortcoming, we all know that Toy Story 3 will be the winner this year.  Pixar can add yet another Oscar to that ever-expanding trophy case of theirs.  How to Train Your Dragon was a great film, but there’s just no competing with a Pixar powerhouse as huge as their Toy Story franchise.  Domination is guaranteed.
Best Foreign Film: Biutiful (Mexico)
Other Nominees: Dogtooth (Greece), In a Better World (Denmark), Incendies (Canada), Outside the Law (Algeria)
I saw this film and to be honest I didn’t like it very much.  I wouldn’t be surprised if the other nominated movies are better.  But since Bardem got his own nomination (for Best Actor), it seems like this one could already be in the books, with Biutiful taking home the prize.
Best Original Screenplay: Christopher Nolan, Inception
Other Nominees: Another Year, The Fighter, The Kid’s Are Alright, The King’s Speech
This should have been the year that Inception swept the Oscars.  But after Nolan’s snub and plenty of King’s Speech love going around, it’s clear that that sadly will not be the case.  However, Inception has a really good shot of winning Best Original Screenplay, as it should.  Personally, I think that the complexity and sheer genius of Inception should make it a lock to win this category, but I am a bit worried that all the King’s Speech buzz could lead to an upset.  It’s safe to say that, if Nolan loses, I’ll be extremely displeased.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Other Nominees: 127 Hours, Toy Story 3, True Grit, Winter’s Bone
One of the best parts of The Social Network by far was the script, which deserves all of the praise it’s been receiving this awards season.  I would be shocked to see another nominee take this one away from Sorkin.  The Social Network really was one of the best scripts we’ve seen in the past decade or so, no question.
Best Art Direction: Alice in Wonderland
Other Nominees: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Inception, The King’s Speech, True Grit
Best Costume Design: Alice in Wonderland
Other Nominees: I Am Love, The King’s Speech, The Tempest, True Grit
Best Original Song: If I Rise, 127 Hours
Other Nominees: We Belong Together (Toy Story 3), Coming Home (Country Strong), I See the Light (Tangled)
Best Original Score: Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, The Social Network
Other Nominees: How to Train Your Dragon, Inception, The King’s Speech, 127 Hours
I’d rather see Hans Zimmer win this one because the soundtrack to Inception was one of the most epic things to ever grace my eardrums.  But people have said that Reznor and Ross’ Score is more impressive because it is something so usual for Reznor.  Who would have thought that the front man of Nine Inch Nails could be an Oscar contender?  On the other hand, Hans Zimmer being nominated is not only ordinary, it’s almost expected (he’s been nominated eight times and won one Oscar already).  I’m putting my money on Reznor taking that newcomer love all the way to the podium.
Best Documentary: Inside Job
Other Nominees: Exit Through the Gift Shop, Restrepo, Gasland, Waste Land
The only one of these that I saw was Exit Through the Gift Shop, which was absolutely fantastic.  The doc, done by Banksy, explores the world of street art and the recent popularity and notoriety of artists like Banksy himself.  The subject was really fascinating and there was a bit of a surprising twist at the end.  Unfortunately, I think that the other nominees tackle more serious, pressing issues that appeal more to the Academy.  I haven’t heard anything about Gasland or Waste Land, so I basically flipped a coin between Inside Job and Restrepo.
Best Film Editing: 127 Hours
Other Nominees: The Social Network, The King’s Speech, Black Swan, The Fighter
Best Cinematography: True Grit
Other Nominees: Black Swan, The Social Network, The King’s Speech, Inception
Roger Deakins, if you don’t know, is a bit of a legend in the film / cinematography world.  The man’s been nominated for an Oscar nine times and has yet to win it.  Come on AMPAS, time to give Deakins his due.
Best Makeup: The Wolfman
Other Nominees: The Way Back, Barney’s Version
Best Sound Editing: Inception
Other Nominees: True Grit, Tron: Legacy, Toy Story 3, Unstoppable
Best Sound Mixing: Inception
Other Nominees: The King’s Speech, Salt, The Social Network, True Grit
Best Visual Effects: Inception
Other Nominees: Alice in Wonderland, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Hereafter, Iron Man 2
Best Documentary (Short Subject): Strangers No More
Other Nominees: Poster Girl, Killing in the Name, Sun Comes Up, The Warriors of Quigang
Best Visual Short Film (Animated): The Lost Thing
Other Nominees: Day and Night, The Gruffalo, Let’s Pollute, Madagascar: A Journey Diary
Best Short Film (Live Action): The Confession
Other Nominees: The Crush, God of Love, Na Wewe, Wish 143

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences Could Use Some New Blood

I came across an interesting Hollywood Reporter article some months ago and figured that now would be the best time to share my thoughts about it, since the Academy Awards are just a month away.  In THR‘s November 10th issue, there was an article by Stephen Galloway titled “Why Age Matters.”  The caption under the headline was, “Oscar voters aren’t the most youthful people in Hollywood – and that will affect this year’s race.”  Before reading this article, I hadn’t given much thought to how age could play a major role in deciding which films end up with the Oscar each year.  And now that THR got me thinking about it, I can’t help but be riled up by the matter.

In his article, Galloway discusses the affect that the older age of Oscar voters could have on this year’s top seven contenders for Best Picture: The King’s Speech, The Social Network, 127 Hours, Black Swan, Blue Valentine, Toy Story 3, and Inception.  It’s an interesting piece, but the biggest shock to me was the average age of members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.  Galloway reports that the average AMPAS member is a whopping 57 years old.  There’s no question that older members means a certain disconnect from movies exhibiting more contemporary stories and material, such as The Social Network or even Toy Story 3.

Regardless of whether someone has a Facebook profile or not, they should be able to recognize that The Social Network is one of the year’s best films.  When David Fincher and Aaron Sorkin team up, there’s not much that can go wrong.  But part of what makes “the Facebook movie” so great is how relevant it is right now.  The film explores a story that has impacted the lives of more than 500 million people – that is, Facebook’s 500 million current users.  The problem is, since the social networking website only launched in 2004, the majority of it’s users are well under 60 years old.  So how is the average 57-year-old AMPAS voter going to connect with The Social Network in the same way that an eighteen or twenty-five-year-old viewer will – people who have been on Facebook for seven years?  You can read as many articles about Facebook and watch as many Mark Zuckerberg interviews as you like, but you can’t understand the phenomenon of Facebook until you’ve joined the community, which I’m sure plenty of AMPAS voters have not.

64-year-old AMPAS President Tom Sherak

The same argument can be made, on a lesser degree, for Toy Story 3.  The film probably meant much more to those of us who grew up with the original Toy Story. Even though the movie might get great reviews from both a 22-year-old and a 55-year-old, it probably made more of an impact on the person who was 22.

I’m not suggesting that the AMPAS offer a membership to every college graduate as they enter the entertainment industry.  All I’m saying is that, with some fresh new faces in the Academy, the organization would be more in touch with the industry’s up-and-coming talent and their work.  It’s not fair to passionate, promising new artists if their projects are being judged by a majority of older voters.  This year’s The King’s Speech was a great film, but it doesn’t deserve the Oscar.  But older voters could mean it gets the gold anyway, and Galloway explains how:

“…the film is perfectly skewed to the Academy’s older crowd.  Its central character was 40 when he ascended the throne, but he’s played by Colin Firth, who at 50 fits the voters’ tastes even better.  Add to that a cast led by such middle-aged vets as Helena Bonham Carter (44) and Geoffrey Rush (59) – add too the fact that it’s a period piece with a happy ending and features nothing more gruesome than a bit of conflict between the monarch and his tutor – and the Weinsteins could be back in The English Patient and Shakespeare in Love territory all over again.” [Stephen Galloway, "Why Age Matters"]

It seems like quite the unfair advantage to me.  It wouldn’t be such a big deal if the Academy Awards weren’t the most prestigious, sought after awards in the film industry.  If the AMPAS were to send out some more invitations to younger industry moguls (and they are out there), there could be less of a bias against more contemporary material.  There comes a point where every organization must pass the torch on to the next generation of members, and now could be the beginning of that time for the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.